There is a problem with the anti-war lobby. They do not wish to believe their eyes. It appears that in their hearts they want to believe that the US at its roots is rational in pursuit of its interests. Therefore arguments about national interests could have traction if only enough people could see matters clearly. If they had to accept that ‘rational interest’ did not have traction then they would have to start considering the US as a sinister…

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A missing spoke in Garland Nixon’s analysis is the role of the palace. Libya’s destruction was among various matters a by-product of Hillary Clinton’s Presidential ambitions and wish to have a photo opportunity as a successful conqueror. There are interesting precedents such as Julius Caesar’s militarily pointless expedition to Britain, which he later wrote up as part of his campaign for rulership of Rome. Curiously, Clinton referenced Caesar’s exploit when she said ‘we came,we saw, he died’. This clearly…

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Garland Nixon published a video analysis regarding the changes in the world and their implications. There is an error in his otherwise brilliant analysis. He sees the US as fighting against ‘modernity’, not against Russia and China. In his eyes, the US are tilting against windmills in their mind, though the windmills have a real-world similitude. Note 1. This analysis I will present requires detailed documentation and complex analysis, which I will do in the future, but for now,…

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Many US commentators seem to have lost all their scepticism. Their biases are so obvious in seeking any explanation. If the warrant states they are looking for documents these naive commentators assume this is genuine as opposed to the possible fact that this may be the only way to justify the warrant. Most spectacular is the general response to the leak that the FBI was using information from an inside source. Almost everyone seems to think this proves there…

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This is a real internal US war and the players are some of US best tactical minds. With Jan 6 investigation creating a negative narrative and the possibilities of that narrative getting darker, Trump supporters had to do something. But here is the kicker ..these are not directly Trump supporters but anti-Biden and anti- neocons. We are faced with the neo-cons seeking to poison the wells, then creating a narrative that the US is beset by enemies and a…

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What is the driving force of Nigerian politics and business?No part of the Nigerian elite has any faith or confidence in the future of Nigeria. Any person from abroad of Nigerian ancestry with visions for its future will be punished until they squeal in pain. For our elite, even believing in Nigeria’s future is an offence. This goes way back. I remember speaking to the editor of Abiola’s paper. I mentioned that I had a proposal that would turn…

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Alex Mercouris and Alex Christoforou, on their platform The Duran, make some fundamental errors in their evaluation of the future options for the US. They argue that the US has nothing to fear from a reduction in their status. They also claim the `US was responsible for moving manufacturing to China and away from the US. These are two fundamental errors: firstly, the movement of manufacturing to China was not a move away from the US. The original competition…

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Western commentators, particularly critical ones, are finding explanations of US policy to be puzzling. They then drift to suggestions that the US policy elite have lost their senses. This is always a poor option. What is the cause of this misunderstanding? It arises from thinking that these recent US policy actions are devoted to the external world. In fact, these actions are primarily designed as internal political actions. Pelosi on Taiwan: these actions are designed to prevent subsequent administrations…

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We are often asked how Africa, with so many bright and intelligent people, can be so badly governed. This note is a brief essay on thinking carefully about this issue. Our first port of call is to understand that the damage done by an institution is not directly related to itself but to the context. An institution may do more harm than ever intended, particularly if by accident, the ability to reform escapes the community. Our first post-war generation…

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Cynthia Miller-Idriss has recently addressed in Foreign Affairs (8 July 2022) the issue of mass shootings. Rather than focusing on the availability of arms she has indicted extremism as an immediate influence but identified mental health as the long time underlying context: ‘The alleged Buffalo shooter was referred for a psychiatric evaluation after telling his high school classmates he wanted to carry out mass violence, but he was released. When he graduated from high school two weeks later, investigators…

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